Patch Priority Index™ for Microsoft

Every day IT security teams are faced with the daunting task of prioritizing the continuous stream of patches that address information security risks. When considering which patch to apply first, security professionals face a complex resource allocation equation with many variables, some of which are only roughly defined and all are constantly changing.

As a service to the information security community, nCircle has created the nCircle Patch Priority Index, a tool that is designed to identify the ten top priority patches for specific vendors, such as Microsoft and Adobe.
 
The nCircle Patch Priority Index is a monthly ranking of the highest risk vulnerabilities that should be patched immediately. The priority is based on nCircle's Risk Score, a composite metric that combines several factors to generate a detailed, accurate risk score. The nCircle Risk Score can be combined with system asset values to provide enterprises with a repeatable, consistent method that IT security teams across the globe can use to effectively prioritize the most critical vulnerabilities. The Patch Priority Index is a prioritized list of vulnerabilities to patch, and does not include zero-day vulnerabilities since there is no patch available.

Patch Priority Index for Microsoft – 12 months through April 21, 2010

Rank
   CVE    Vulnerability
Microsoft Exploitability Index
CVSS Base Score
nCircle Risk Score
1
 CVE-2008-0015 MS09-032: Microsoft Windows 'MPEG2TuneRequest' ActiveX Control Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
1
9.3
12778
2
 CVE-2009-3023 MS09-053: Microsoft IIS FTPd NLST Remote Buffer Overflow Vulnerability      
1
9
11587
3
 CVE-2009-3103 MS09-050: Microsoft Windows SMB2 '_Smb2ValidateProviderCallback()' Remote Code Execution Vulnerability 
1
7.8
11429
4
 CVE-2009-2514 MS09-065: Microsoft Windows Embedded OpenType Font Engine Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
1
9.3
9872
5
 CVE-2009-2510 MS09-056: Microsoft Internet Explorer NULL Byte CA SSL Certificate Validation Security Bypass Vulnerability
3
6.8
1763
6
 CVE-2009-1537 MS09-028: Microsoft DirectX DirectShow QuickTime Video Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
2
9.3
788
7
 CVE-2009-2505 MS09-071: Microsoft Protected Extensible Authentication Protocol Memory Corruption Vulnerability 
2
10
569
8
 CVE-2009-1122 MS09-020: Microsoft IIS 5.0 WebDAV Authentication Bypass Vulnerability
3
7.6
554
9
 CVE-2009-1122 MS09-020: Microsoft IIS 5.0 WebDAV Authentication Bypass Vulnerability (Remote)
3
7.6
534
10
 CVE-2009-1535 MS09-020: Microsoft IIS Unicode Requests to WebDAV Authentication Bypass Vulnerability  (Remote)  
1
7.6
534


The nCircle Risk Score

The nCircle Risk Score was developed over several years using data collected from hundreds of thousands of security audits and was designed to scale to very large networks. It provides a highly granular, composite metric to facilitate true prioritization based on the actual risk to the network. For more information on the nCircle risk score methodology, click here.

Other scoring systems are much less granular – usually “1 to 5” or “High-Medium-Low” -- and are not suited to networks with thousands of systems. Page after page of “High” rated vulnerabilities are of little value to administrators trying to determine which vulnerabilities present the most risk to their network and therefore should be fixed first.

The components of the nCircle Risk Score are:

  • The "risk" factor, which represents the threat inherent in having the vulnerability on a specific system
  • A measurement of the “skill” required to successfully carry out an attack which exploits the vulnerability
  • The elapsed time since the vulnerability was publicly disclosed

In addition to the  high granularity of the nCircle Risk Score, the third component, time, is a key differentiator from other scoring systems. Other systems simply do not include this factor, and therefore become less useful over time. Is the risk of the LSASS vulnerability the same today as it was when it was discovered in 2004, for instance? Of course not, but other scoring systems have no way of incorporating this concept. CVSS  provides  a “time” factor, but it is not widely used, and most commercial solutions do not support it. By incorporating the time component, the nCircle Risk Score delivers a consistent, composite metric that provides a solid foundation for prioritizing  the most critical vulnerabilities on the enterprise network.